Robinhood's Bitcoin Price Prediction Market Set to Resolve on August 9
On August 9, 2026, at 9am EDT, Robinhood will settle its prediction market on the price of Bitcoin. The market asks whether BTC will reach or exceed $64,800, $64,900, $65,000, or $65,100 by that time. The price used to determine the outcome is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 prices in the last minute before expiration and averages them to find the official value.
The Robinhood Derivatives LLC contract offers a payout of $1 for every contract owned if the prediction is correct. However, there are trading prohibitions in place, including restrictions on persons employed by certain agencies or holding material non-public information on Bitcoin.