Robinhood's BTC Price Prediction Market Offers Three Possible Outcomes

The prediction market on Robinhood is offering a contract that predicts the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on August 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT. The contract resolves based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 RTI prices at the last minute before expiration. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

There are three possible outcomes: $78,250 or above, $67,500 or above, and $67,750 or above. If your prediction is correct, you get paid out, but if you close your position before the event resolves, additional fees apply.

The contract prohibits trading for persons employed by certain agencies and those who hold material non-public information on Bitcoin.