Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market Sets Odds for September 2026 BTC Price
On September 10, 2026, at 12am EDT, Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market will determine the outcome of a contract related to the price of Bitcoin (BTC). The prediction market is offering odds on whether the BTC price will be above certain thresholds. According to the data, there are several possible outcomes for the BTC price: $78,300 or above, with 71% probability; $78,400 or above, with a 40% chance; and $78,500 or above, with only 15% odds of occurring.
The final value will be determined by averaging the prices from CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) at the last minute before expiration. The data is collected every hour, except for Thursday between 3am-5am ET when trading hours are restricted.
Those who own contracts and accurately predict the outcome can receive a payout of $1 per contract within an hour after resolution. However, it's essential to note that trading prohibitions apply to certain individuals, including those employed by Source Agencies or holding material non-public information on the Underlying asset.