Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market Sets Sights on Aug 23, 2026 Bitcoin Price

The price of Bitcoin on August 23, 2026 at 9am EDT will be a subject of prediction on the Crypto Prediction Market offered by Robinhood. The market allows users to predict if the price of BTC will reach or exceed certain thresholds.

According to the contract terms, there are five possible outcomes: $76,900 or above, $77,000 or above, $77,100 or above, $77,200 or above, and $77,300 or above. Each outcome has a corresponding probability: 81¢, 64¢, 49¢, 30¢, and 18¢ respectively.

The contract resolves based on the average price of BTC as determined by CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) at the last minute before expiration. The official and final value is calculated from 60 RTI prices collected in that time frame.