Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market Sets Sights on BTC Price

On September 12, 2026, at 10pm EDT, the price of Bitcoin will be determined by Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market. The market is offering a chance to predict whether the BTC price will reach or exceed specific thresholds.

The predictions are based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI), with prices collected and averaged at the last minute before expiration. The outcome of the contract will determine the payout, which can be up to $1 for every contract owned if the prediction is correct.

The event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through various exchanges, including KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC, or North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. However, specific restrictions apply to certain individuals, such as those employed by the Source Agencies or holding material non-public information on the Underlying.

It is essential for participants to carefully consider their personal financial circumstances before engaging in futures, options on futures, and cleared swaps trading, which involves significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone.