Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market Sets Sights on BTC Price in 2026
The Crypto Prediction Market on Robinhood is offering a contract for predicting the price of BTC on August 26, 2026 at 9am EDT. According to the contract, the price used will be based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI), and the final value will be the average of 60 RTI prices collected in real-time before expiration. The contract specifies that it is available for trading 24 hours a day, except Thursday from 3am to 5am ET.
The payouts for correct predictions are as follows: $78,300 or above will pay out 66 cents per contract, $78,400 or above will pay out 51 cents per contract, and $78,500 or above will pay out 34 cents per contract. The contract resolves within one hour of the event resolution, and trading hours are from 24/7 except for Thursday's specified time frame.
The contract is offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through various entities, including KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC. The terms and conditions of the contract emphasize that it involves significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone.