Trump Admin Departure Odds Shift Amid Leavitt Exit
Karoline Leavitt, who served as White House Press Secretary under Donald Trump, has become the latest high-profile official to depart the administration. According to sources, Leavitt will leave her role at the end of August to focus on her young family but remain involved as an outside adviser and Republican voice ahead of the midterms.
The departure comes amid a string of high-level exits from the Trump administration, with some speculating about who will be next. A prediction market is currently betting on who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year, with over $7.2 million bet on the contract.
Bettors have placed the highest probability on Amy Gleason, who served as acting administrator of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), at 44%. Susie Wiles, White House Chief of Staff, is next on the list with a probability of 34%, followed by Howard Lutnick, Secretary of Commerce, at 31%.
Rumors surrounding Kash Patel's exit as director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation have simmered down, with the probability of his departure declining to 23%. According to data from Kalshi, a federally authorized betting platform, these figures and probabilities are accurate.