XRP Trader Uses Century-Old Formula to Project $6,000 Price Target
A crypto trader known as XRP Olesya has applied an economic formula developed over a century ago to value Ripple's token, XRP. The Fisher equation, which links asset prices to transaction volume, velocity, and supply, was used by the trader to project a theoretical price of $6,000 for XRP under what she describes as a conservative scenario.
The analysis relies on several key assumptions, including an annual institutional transaction flow through the XRP network of $30 trillion, a velocity of 0.5 times per year, and a fixed circulating supply of 10 billion tokens. The trader also assumes that banks would hold XRP as collateral, keeping tokens parked in treasury rather than moving them between owners.
The combination of these inputs produces the $6,000 figure, which is just one part of the trader's larger projection. She outlines a staged price trajectory tied to the passage of the CLARITY Act, with potential price ranges for XRP ranging from $2,000 in the first three months to as high as $66,000 beyond 18 months if derivatives settlement materializes.
The analysis also references several recent developments on the XRP Ledger, including a JPMorgan transaction settled using XRP and Ripple Prime's inclusion in the DTCC's clearing participant directory. However, the trader emphasizes that institutional adoption cannot proceed at scale without formal legal status for XRP, which is currently pending on the Senate calendar under Order Number 423.