August Jobs Rebound Could Clear Way for Fed Inflation Focus
Economists are forecasting a modest rebound in August's nonfarm payroll additions, predicting around 55,000 new jobs. This turnaround would give the Federal Reserve permission to focus on bringing inflation under control.
The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at approximately 4.1%, which Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has described as consistent with full employment.
Inflation remains a concern, however, with PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) inflation sitting at around 3.7% year-over-year and core PCE at 3.3%. Both figures are well above the Fed's 2% target.
The July jobs report was a surprise contraction of 23,000 jobs, but economists believe this may have been an aberration rather than the start of a trend.