Australia's Economic Storm Brews as Interest Rates Loom
Australia is facing an economic and political storm that's hitting consumer sentiment. The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised interest rates three times this year, and the Albanese Government's housing tax policy changes have further added to the uncertainty.
The latest figures show a $34.1 billion property value wipe-out in the three months to June. This has led to falling house prices, with buyers retreating from the market due to concerns about negative gearing and capital gains tax.
The extent of the expected house price slump is revealed by banks' predictions: ANZ expects a 10.6% decline across Australia, the Commonwealth Bank predicts a 10% capital city property price drop, and National Australia Bank forecasts a 9% fall in Melbourne and a 10% drop in Sydney.
RBA deputy governor Andrew Hauser has warned that inflation cannot remain above target for an extended period. With July's annual headline inflation pace at 3.5%, the RBA is expected to raise interest rates again, taking the cash rate to a 15-year high of 4.6%.