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BOJ Rate Hike Bets Send Japanese Yields Soaring to Historic Highs

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The Japanese government bond market saw a significant shift on Friday as yields reached multi-decade highs. The two-year yield, which is most sensitive to Bank of Japan interest rate policy, rose to 1.650 percent, its highest level since May 1995.

The five-year yield also broke records, reaching 2.135 percent after adding 1.5 basis points. This marks the fifth consecutive day of gains in this segment. The benchmark 10-year JGB yield climbed 0.5 bp to 2.875 percent.

Market expectations suggest that the Bank of Japan is poised to raise interest rates as soon as September, with some sources indicating a possibility of accelerated hikes thereafter.

Takayuki Miyajima, senior economist at Sony Financial Group, noted in a note that speculation about an early interest rate hike by the BOJ continues to weigh on the market. The data release from Thursday showed Japan's July producer price index rose 7.2 percent year-on-year, slightly below forecasts but still elevated.

Japan may be signaling its intention to stem the yen's decline through faster-than-expected interest rate increases. Mitsuhiro Furusawa, Tokyo's former top currency diplomat, told Reuters that this could be a possible move.

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