Bond Market Distress Triggers 'Panicking Fed' Warning
The global bond market is experiencing intense structural distress due to soaring 30-year US Treasury yields. The real yield on these bonds has reached 3 percent, its highest level since the 2008 financial crisis.
Bank of America's chief investment strategist, Michael Hartnett, warns that a 'panicking Fed' may be necessary to stabilize the market. He notes that investors are ascribing a 38 percent probability to a Federal Reserve rate hike at the upcoming meeting.
The dilemma facing new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is clear: he must choose between hiking rates to combat inflation and supporting equities ahead of the November midterm elections.
Hartnett's analysis highlights a paradigm shift in asset allocation. Higher Treasury yields are now triggering lower bank share prices, sparking a rapid deleveraging event across risk assets.