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Bond Market Selloff Pushes Borrowing Costs to Highest in Years

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The global bond market is experiencing a significant selloff, pushing borrowing costs to their highest in years across regions and maturities. This is driven by a combination of factors, including the war in the Middle East, which has sent energy prices higher and lifted inflation expectations.

The yield on Japan's 10-year notes has risen above 3% for the first time in three decades, setting markets abuzz about the potential impact of a mass repatriation of Japanese capital from U.S., European, and Australian debt markets. Investors are waiting to hear whether Japan's $2 trillion pension fund will shift more of its capital to domestic bonds.

The upcoming inflation reports in the U.S. could be the deciding factor for whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates later this month. Data on producer prices is due Thursday, followed by the closely watched consumer price index, with economists expecting August CPI to have climbed 0.4%.

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