Bond Yields Surge as Global Market Fears Mount
The global bond selloff continues to push borrowing costs higher as investors assess inflation risks and tighten monetary policy. Bond yields have surged across maturities, with short-term U.S. and euro zone yields reaching multi-year highs. The U.S. Treasury is preparing to double its longer-dated bond buybacks, with the first operation scheduled for Wednesday.
The yen has strengthened sharply in recent sessions as expectations of tighter Japanese monetary policy have increased. Japan's 10-year government bond yield climbed above 3% for the first time in three decades, and investors are watching whether the country's $2 trillion Government Pension Investment Fund will increase allocations to domestic bonds.
The U.S. inflation calendar takes center stage with producer prices due Thursday, followed by the closely watched consumer price index on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters expect August CPI to rise 0.4%, which could prove crucial in determining whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its September 15-16 meeting.
The European Central Bank is widely expected to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points on Thursday, matching its June move. However, markets are pricing in another rate increase by December and one more next year, while economists increasingly expect the ECB to pause after Thursday.