Dollar Price Forecast Uncertain Ahead of Fed Minutes and UK Inflation
The US dollar's price forecast is uncertain as traders await the release of July Fed minutes, which will provide insight into policymakers' views on rates and inflation. Markets currently favor a September Fed hold, reducing support from U.S. rate expectations.
The Euro has been gaining strength due to ECB tightening expectations, with 57 out of 69 economists surveyed by Reuters anticipating an increase in interest rates by 25 basis points in September. However, UK inflation data are expected to be released on Wednesday and may impact the pound's value.
The DXY remains vulnerable below the $99.89-$100.19 EMA cluster, with $99.38 acting as critical downside support. The RSI line is at 38, indicating weak momentum and raising the risk for another test to the downside.