Dollar Strengthens as Markets Prepare for Busy US Data Day
The US dollar ticked higher on Thursday as traders prepared for a busy day of data releases in the United States. The greenback was modestly firmer, with EUR/USD dipping to around 1.1544 and GBP/USD hovering near 1.3464. USD/CAD, however, softened against the Canadian dollar ahead of Canada's services PMI release.
The day's calendar includes a slew of key releases, including weekly jobless claims, second-quarter productivity, and unit labor costs at 8:30 am ET. These 'boring' inputs can matter significantly for currencies, as they hint at whether businesses can pay higher wages without passing costs into prices. A low jobless claim number or high unit labor cost reading could lead traders to believe that the Federal Reserve will maintain a 'higher for longer' interest rate path, supporting the dollar.
Markets are closely watching these releases for clues on inflation and wage pressures. If the data suggests that businesses can absorb higher wages without raising prices, it could lead to a stronger US dollar. Conversely, if the data indicates cooling labor market conditions, investors may reassess their expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes.