Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Forex

Fed Holds Off on Rate Hike as Oil Prices Surge

Instruments
USD
Share

The Federal Reserve's next meeting is expected to be a closely watched event as investors and economists try to determine whether interest rates will rise or remain steady. According to CBS News, the Fed is likely to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a rate hike.

Rising oil prices have increased the probability of a rate hike later this year, with investors betting on a higher likelihood of a rate increase. The CME Group's FedWatch tool now shows a 38% chance that the central bank will hike its benchmark rate next week, up from 12% just a week earlier.

However, most experts still expect the Fed to hold off on raising rates in July. Gregory Daco, chief economist for EY-Parthenon, said that while a July rate hike is highly unlikely, the September FOMC meeting could be the first meaningful test of whether inflation remains under control.

More on Forex

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment advisor. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Real-time market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc