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Forex Seasonality: GBP/USD Sinks in August

Instruments
USD JPY GBP AUD
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The August forex seasonality has been analyzed, and it reveals some concerning trends for several major currency pairs. Historically, GBP/USD has seen its worst monthly performance in August, with average returns of around -0.5% since 1971.

A bearish move in AUD/USD could create an 8-month head-and-shoulders topping pattern on the pair, with a neckline in the 0.6850 zone.

The key question for USD/JPY is how serious Japan and the US are about providing ongoing support to the yen, rather than long-term seasonal tendencies.

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