GBP/JPY Stuck in Sideways Pattern Amid Technical Resistance
The GBP/JPY currency pair is stuck in a sideways pattern as the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) continues to act as a ceiling for upside moves. The pair has been hovering around the 192.50 level as of February 10, 2025. This technical barrier has limited gains for the pound against the yen, while downside risks persist due to divergent monetary policy expectations between the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan.
The 50-day SMA is a key resistance level for GBP/JPY, preventing the pair from breaking above the 193.00 region over the past two weeks. This moving average aligns with a short-term descending trendline, reinforcing the resistance zone. On the downside, immediate support is seen at the 192.00 psychological level, followed by the 200-day SMA at 190.50.
The policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England has kept GBP/JPY range-bound. The yen has found some support from expectations that the BOJ may continue to normalize its ultra-loose monetary policy, while the Bank of England has signaled a cautious approach, with markets pricing in a possible rate cut later in 2025.