Jobs Report Boosts Case for Rate Hike, but Inflation Data Remains Crucial
The recent US jobs report has bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this month, but a hike is still not guaranteed. The nonfarm payrolls in August topped all estimates, increasing by 162,000 last month and revising away July's job losses.
The employment data showed that the labor market has more momentum than previously thought, with Olu Sonola from Fitch Ratings calling it 'unequivocally strong'. However, analysts continue to expect the next Fed rate decision will hinge on inflation data due next week.
The Federal Reserve is concerned about persistently high inflation but divided over how monetary policy should respond. New evidence of price pressures could tilt the Federal Open Market Committee toward a rate hike, while cooler reports are likely to keep the Fed on hold.