Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Forex

Strong U.S. Jobs Data Sparks Rate Hike Expectations

Instruments
EUR USD
Share

The U.S. dollar surged after the release of August's payrolls report, which showed a stronger-than-expected increase in jobs and wages. The Dollar Index rose about 0.17% to around 99.17, while EUR/USD traded near 1.1605 down roughly 0.18%. The strong data pushed up market-implied odds of a September Federal Reserve rate hike to around 60-63%, from 49-54% the day before.

Gold and Bitcoin retreated in response to the jobs report, with gold falling about 0.80% after losses exceeding 2% following the release. The precious metal traded near $4,400, down from Thursday's high of $4,511. Bitcoin also slipped back below $80,000, trading around $79,450 after earlier nearing $81,500.

The stronger-than-expected payrolls report increased expectations of a September Fed rate hike, with some officials and analysts still expecting no change in rates, but several saying the risk of a 25 basis-point move has materially increased. The decision will be influenced by next week's U.S. inflation data ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC meeting.

More on Forex

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc