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UBS Sees Shift in BoE Tone Towards Rate Hike as Energy Prices Rebound

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The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee is expected to hold interest rates steady on Thursday, according to UBS economist Dean Turner.

This decision may seem like a hawkish hold, but Turner argues that it's actually a shift in tone that leaves a future rate rise looking more plausible than in the summer.

The odds of a near-term cut are fading, and the chance of an upcoming hike is becoming harder to ignore. This change in tone comes after a renewed climb in energy prices, which has pushed oil higher and revived inflation worries.

Turner notes that recent comments from policymakers suggest a growing risk that rising energy costs will feed into inflation expectations and wider pricing.

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