Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Forex

US Dollar Weakens Against Canadian Dollar Amid Reduced Rate Hike Expectations

Instruments
USD CAD
Share

The USD/CAD pair has been declining due to reduced expectations of a US Federal Reserve rate hike, according to FXStreet. The pair dropped to around 1.3860 during the early European session on Monday and is now hovering just above the Bollinger lower band at 1.3855.

Market sentiment has shifted as traders pare bets on a rate hike from the US central bank, with the CME FedWatch tool showing that a rate hike next month is now priced at 30%, down sharply from about 40% a week earlier.

This decline in expectations has led to a soft run of US economic data, including an unexpected drop in Retail Sales. Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, stated that this points to a material slowdown in real consumer spending growth in the third quarter.

More on Forex

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc