Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Forex

US Jobs Report Falls Short, RBA Decision in Focus

Instruments
USD AUD
Share

The US jobs report for July fell short of expectations, casting doubt on the Federal Reserve's plans to raise interest rates. Headline payrolls decreased by 23,000, down from the predicted gain of 80,000.

Additionally, average wage growth came in below forecasts at 3.2% year-over-year and 0.1% month-over-month, while the unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, but this was largely due to a shrinking labor force.

The weak jobs data has led to a dovish repricing of the OIS curve, with year-end Fed rate pricing now at 17 bps of tightening, down from 22 bps previously.

Looking ahead, investors will be keeping a close eye on the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision tomorrow, as well as key inflation data releases this week, including the US July CPI report on Wednesday and UK June GDP numbers on Thursday.

More on Forex

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment advisor. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc