Yen Decline Triggers Global Bond Market Jitters
A prolonged decline in the yen has significant implications for global bond markets and borrowing costs. The Bank of Japan's low interest rates have contributed to the weak currency, making it attractive for investors to borrow cheaply in Japan and invest abroad. This 'yen carry trade' involves selling the yen to buy assets with higher returns elsewhere, such as US government bonds.
The yen has fallen to multi-decade lows, pushing Japanese-based investors to sell their foreign holdings and move money back to Japan. If they begin selling US Treasuries in large quantities, Treasury prices could fall, leading to higher yields and increased borrowing costs for governments, companies, and households.
Higher bond yields also push up mortgage rates, affecting homeowners and businesses worldwide. The US is concerned about the impact on its own borrowing costs, as a 0.25% rise in interest rates adds $80 billion-$100 billion to the federal government's interest bill.