Yen's Rise Signals Shift in Japanese Capital Prices
The recent surge in the yen's value may signal more than just another carry-trade scare. The price of Japanese capital is changing, and rising JGB yields are making it increasingly rational for Japanese investors to keep their money at home.
For decades, Japan has been a major player in global markets, but now it seems that the country is becoming less abnormal. This shift could have far-reaching implications for U.S. markets, including Treasuries, technology valuations, and the broader equity market.
The real risk for U.S. markets is not a sudden 'Godzilla' event, but rather a slow reversal of the capital flows that have suppressed global borrowing costs for years.