The Democrats have secured a decisive victory in the US midterm elections, gaining control of Congress. While midterm losses for the incumbent president's party are common, the magnitude of the Republican defeat is seen as a strong rejection of Donald Trump's presidency.
One of the key factors driving voter dissatisfaction was the soaring cost of living. Prices increased by 3.7% in the year to September, with fuel and energy costs reaching near-record highs. Nearly 80% of voters reported severe or moderate hardship due to inflation, and over 60% blamed Trump's policies for the rising prices.
The unpopular Iran war, launched in February, also played a significant role in the election outcomes. The conflict led to a surge in fuel prices after Tehran closed the Strait of Hormuz, impacting global oil and gas supplies. Polls showed that 63% of voters believed the US made the wrong decision to take military action against Iran, and 74% considered the conflict a crucial factor in their voting decision.
Democrats benefited from a disciplined campaign message focused on the cost of living and healthcare access. Candidates like James Talarico, Adam Hamilton, and Annie Andrews resonated with voters in traditional Republican strongholds, while Abdul El-Sayed and Jon Ossoff emphasized affordability and corruption in their campaigns.
Trump's unpopularity weighed heavily on Republican candidates, with his approval ratings even declining among his own party's voters. The shift in Hispanic and black voter support also contributed to the Democratic victory, with majority-Hispanic counties moving significantly against Republican Senate candidates.