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Commodities

Dollar and Silver at Critical Junctures as Key Levels Tested

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Silver
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The US Dollar Index (DXY) is testing a key supply zone near 102, while silver prices hover around $61 per ounce, clinging to support. Analysts often assume a stronger Dollar weakens silver, but the current charts suggest the focus should be on which asset’s move fails first rather than which starts.

Technical analyst Anna Radomska of Gold-Eagle notes that Federal Reserve repricing has repeatedly overridden chart patterns from June to September 2026, making current levels conditional rather than predictive. Silver is up 25.75% from a year ago but remains far below its January 2026 high of $121.64.

For the Dollar Index, a daily close above 101.88 would confirm short-term momentum, while resistance stretches from 102.00 to 105.57, with significant supply zones at 102.36-102.44. A breakout above 102.50 would invalidate the bearish scenario. On the downside, 99.29 acts as medium-term support.

Silver is defending a declining channel floor near $61, with key support at 6000 and resistance at 6466-6480. A close above 6171 would signal a potential rebound, while a break below 5988 would confirm a downtrend. The relationship between the Dollar and silver is influenced by Fed policy, with hawkish signals typically pressuring metals.

Investors should watch for a Dollar rejection at 102.36-102.44 or a silver close above 6171 to confirm a rebound. Mixed signals in the middle range (6000-6171) could lead to profit-taking. The broader outlook remains cyclical, with the Dollar’s strength constrained by the 102-105 band.

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