East Africa Braces for Lower Corn Yields Amid Severe Drought

East Africa is facing a challenging agricultural season due to one of the driest rainy periods in recent years. Between June and September, rainfall deficits ranging from 100 to 300 millimeters were recorded across northern and western parts of the region, compounded by record-high temperatures that worsened moisture losses.

The situation is particularly severe in Kenya, where corn yields in western counties could drop by up to 36% below average this season, according to Kenya ADAPT forecasts. Western Kenya is a crucial corn-producing area, making the potential yield loss a significant concern.

Other countries in the region, including Ethiopia, Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, and Somalia, are also experiencing adverse weather conditions. Weak rainfall and high temperatures are reducing yields of major crops and deteriorating pasture conditions, which could strain the livestock sector. Smaller feed supplies, poorer animal health, and lower milk yields are expected, potentially impacting household incomes in pastoral areas.

If the forecasts hold true, East African nations may need to increase grain imports and seek additional food assistance. Early crop estimates are providing governments and humanitarian organizations with time to plan for these needs and support affected farmers.