French Wheat Exports to Morocco Set to Decline in 2026/27 Season
French soft wheat exports to Morocco are expected to decline in the 2026/27 season due to improved rainfall in Morocco, which has boosted the country's domestic wheat harvest. Philippe Heusele, international head of French grain industry group Intercereales, noted that France exported 3.5 million metric tons of wheat to Morocco during the 2025/26 season, when drought had reduced Moroccan output and quality. Morocco suspended wheat imports in June to protect its local harvest, which more than doubled to 4.4 million metric tons, but resumed imports in September.
Despite the resumption, France is likely to export less wheat to Morocco from September 2026 to May 2027. Heusele reassured that France has sufficient supplies to meet Morocco’s needs. France reported a wheat harvest of 32 million tons this year, and since the lifting of the import ban, it has sold 600,000 tons to Morocco in October alone.
Quentin Bellet of the French foreign grain trade union estimated Morocco's imports of French soft wheat from September to May at 2.5 million tons, though he cautioned that the figure remains uncertain due to unstable conditions in the Black Sea region. Moulay Abdelkader Alaoui, head of Morocco's national millers federation, expressed hope for stability in the Black Sea region to calm the market. He noted that strong European demand is tightening wheat supplies and pushing prices higher as Moroccan importers seek to rebuild stocks.
Moroccan wheat stocks currently stand at 600,000 tons, equivalent to about two months of domestic consumption. The government increased the import subsidy to 44.48 dirhams per quintal in October, up from 20.8 dirhams the previous month. Alaoui warned that the rebound in wheat arrivals in October could strain port logistics and trucking capacity, risking a repeat of earlier congestion at Casablanca port.