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Geopolitical Tensions Push Oil, Gold Higher Ahead of US CPI Data

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Global markets are on edge ahead of crucial US inflation data due later today. Oil and gold prices have risen in response to escalating geopolitical tensions, as North Korea launched a ballistic missile off the Korean Peninsula's east coast and Iran doubled down on its commitment to govern the Strait of Hormuz.

The US and Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis reported separate attacks on shipping, with four crew members of an Egyptian-owned ship killed in a Houthi strike. Markets are bracing for the release of July's consumer price index (CPI) data, which could set expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate hike.

US crude rose 0.89% to $83.94 a barrel, and Brent advanced to $89.60 per barrel, up 0.78% on the day. Spot gold gained 0.46% to $4,387.03 an ounce. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.5%, while Japan's benchmark Nikkei share gauge traded flat.

Money markets show an even chance of a rate hike next month, with consumer prices expected to edge up 0.1% in July after falling 0.4% in June. Annual CPI inflation is forecast to slow to 3.4% from 3.5% a month earlier.

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