Gold's Safe-Haven Effect Amplified During Times of Global Uncertainty
Gold prices tend to rise during global uncertainty due to its safe-haven effect. This phenomenon occurs when investors seek assets that can hold value across markets, such as in times of war, bank shocks, trade disputes, or political crises.
In the first half of 2026, gold crossed USD 5,500 per ounce on an intraday basis but fell below USD 4,000 by late June. The World Gold Council reported more than 12 all-time highs in the first part of the year, showing a strong example of the safe-haven effect.
Central banks bought 863 tonnes of gold in 2025, supporting long-term demand. Investment demand for gold rose 84% to 2,175 tonnes, with total gold demand reaching 5,002 tonnes in 2025, the first year above 5,000 tonnes.
The safe-haven effect is influenced by several factors, including geopolitical fear, lower rate expectations, a weaker dollar, and reserve diversification. When these forces combine, gold can offer a different risk profile for investors seeking diversification and reduced exposure to corporate, credit, and market risks.