Hormuz Traffic Rebounds Amid Ongoing Iran-US Standoff
The Strait of Hormuz has become a focal point in the ongoing conflict between Iran and the US. Despite Iranian attempts to disrupt maritime traffic, recent data shows that oil exports through the strait have rebounded significantly.
According to Kpler, Middle East crude exports reached 16.3 million barrels per day in September, just shy of the pre-conflict level of 19.5 million barrels per day. This increase is attributed to Saudi Arabia's doubling of its exports from August to September, as well as a rise in ship traffic.
However, not all is calm in the strait. Iranian forces have been launching roughly 30 drone attacks and 10 anti-ship missile attacks per week since early August. At least four commercial ships were hit in the past 10 days alone, with British naval monitors counting at least 13 ships struck by projectiles or debris since September 10.
The US military has established a protected corridor for ships to transit through Oman's territorial waters, guided and protected by fighter jets and attack helicopters. This route has been effective in keeping traffic flowing, but it is not without its costs. Analysts question how long the US can sustain these expenses, which are passed on to consumers as higher gas prices.
While the Iranian Revolutionary Guard claims that their strikes have forced US warships to pull back, this claim is disputed by experts. The real concern is that the standoff between Iran and the US will continue, with no end in sight.