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Key Economic Data and Fed Speeches to Shape Markets on Monday

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Financial markets are bracing for a significant day on Monday, November 16, 2026, with key economic data releases and Federal Reserve speeches set to influence market sentiment. The Empire State Manufacturing Index, a critical gauge of business conditions among New York manufacturers, will be released at 8:30 AM ET. The previous reading stood at 25.50, indicating improving conditions, and traders will be closely watching for any shifts in this trend.

Two prominent Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak, offering potential insights into future monetary policy. FOMC member John Williams will deliver remarks at 9:05 AM ET, while Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, who took office in May 2026, will speak at 12:00 PM ET. As a voting member of the FOMC, Warsh's comments are particularly significant for signals on interest rate adjustments.

Additionally, the weekly Commitments of Traders reports will be released at 3:30 PM ET, providing a snapshot of speculative positioning across major asset classes. This includes data on S&P 500 futures, Nasdaq 100 futures, gold futures, and crude oil futures, among others. The previous readings for these reports show varying levels of speculative activity, with gold futures at 179.5K and crude oil futures at 80.3K.

Other economic events to watch include Treasury auctions of short-term bills at 11:30 AM ET, with the previous rate at 4.060%. The day also features updates on speculative positioning in various commodities, including aluminum, silver, copper, natural gas, wheat, corn, and soybean futures.

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