Natural Gas Prices Soar as Polar Vortex Disruption Continues
The Natural Gas market is experiencing another historic run-up, according to NrG_Trader4421 in their recent video update. This winter's trading season has already seen a significant price increase, with prices reaching as high as 7439 on the NYMEX. The trader attributes this surge to a combination of factors, including the Polar Vortex disruption and the resulting short squeeze.
The Polar Vortex is causing extreme cold weather in Europe and North America, leading to increased demand for natural gas. This, combined with the lack of expected supply from LNG terminals, has created an overly short market. The trader notes that 100% of algos were short into the weekend of January 17-18, exacerbating the situation.
Another factor contributing to the price increase is the historic run-up in spot prices at delivery hubs across the US. This has caused a series of events leading to final delivery consumers of electricity paying record-high prices during extreme cold spells.
The trader predicts that this winter will be remembered as one of a lifetime, with another 10-day thaw followed by 20 days of historic cold weather. They also expect storage levels to drop significantly, setting up the summer strip at an average price of 4500.