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Commodities

Natural Gas Prices Soar on Cold Snap and Storage Withdrawals

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Natural Gas
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Natural Gas prices have been affected by changes in global atmospheric patterns, causing models to struggle with long-range predictions. Despite this, the price has continued to rise, and traders are looking for potential resistance levels. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $3.50 is now seen as a possible barrier to further gains.

According to NrG_Trader119, Natural Gas pricing is influenced by both fundamentals and sentiment. Technical levels are used to verify if prices are in equilibrium with underlying supply and demand factors. If the price becomes too high or low, it can disrupt the market's balance, leading to changes in usage patterns and supply chain dynamics.

The current cold snap and withdrawal of Natural Gas from storage are contributing to the recent price increase. Models predict a significant use of energy over the next two weeks, with the US model forecasting 92.8 BCF of additional demand and the European model predicting 128 BCF more than average usage. This would put storage levels at over 8% of their 5-year average.

NrG_Trader119 expects the March contract to settle above $3.75/MMCF, with a possible target of $4.00/MMCF if withdrawals reach 900 BCF for February.

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