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Oil Prices Dip Amid West Asian Exports and Gulf Tensions

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Oil prices slipped on Tuesday as traders balanced strong crude exports from West Asia against ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Gulf. Brent crude futures fell 4 cents to $100.28 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dropped 11 cents to $89.33 a barrel. The decline came as increased exports and a G7 emergency stockpile release eased some supply concerns, though attacks by Yemen's Houthis on Saudi targets kept risks in focus.

KCM Trade chief analyst Tim Waterer noted that oil prices remained steady after a previous decline, with traders digesting a modest easing in supply-side anxiety. The pickup in Saudi export numbers and the G7's decision to release 100 million barrels of diesel and crude from emergency reserves helped cap price increases, despite Brent crude staying around the $100 level.

Shipping data showed that crude exports from West Asia exceeded pre-war levels on four days during the last week of September, highlighting the resilience of regional oil flows despite attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz. However, the conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran-backed Houthi forces in Yemen continued to raise concerns about potential disruptions to supplies from the region's largest oil exporter.

The Houthis claimed attacks on several sites in Saudi Arabia, including King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh, an Aramco refinery in Rabigh, and Abha airport, though there was no immediate Saudi confirmation. Waterer noted that without a clear diplomatic breakthrough or further improvement in export efficiency, oil prices are likely to remain supported.

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