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Commodities

Simone Haslinger on Systematic Investing and Market Trends

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Wheat
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Simone Haslinger, CEO of East Coast Capital Management, brings over 20 years of investment experience from firms like J.P. Morgan and Deutsche Bank. She emphasizes that human behavior, driven by biases like the "experience effect" and herding, significantly impacts market movements. People who have lived through bull markets tend to invest more in equities, while those who experienced bear markets reduce their exposure.

Haslinger’s firm uses a systematic approach to counter these biases. They trade over 90 international futures markets, relying on algorithms that identify trends based on price data. For example, their systems signaled a buy on wheat around October before Russia invaded Ukraine, capitalizing on the subsequent price surge without needing to understand the underlying geopolitical factors.

Trend-following strategies, while not perfect, aim to capture market movements without emotional interference. Haslinger notes that these strategies won’t always enter at the absolute bottom or exit at the top, but they provide a disciplined approach to managing risk. Their portfolio is heavily skewed toward commodities, which offer different return drivers compared to traditional assets like stocks and bonds.

The firm’s approach avoids preconceived notions about market relationships, allowing them to adapt to changing conditions. Haslinger highlights the importance of diversification and the ability of trend-following strategies to navigate market corrections by exiting positions before major downturns.

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