Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Crypto

Bitcoin MVRV-Z Score Avoids Negative Value in 2026 Bear Market

Instruments
BTC
Share

The recent Bitcoin bear market has been unlike any prior cycle, according to new analysis. The MVRV-Z Score reached a low of just 0.18 in 2026, avoiding a negative value that occurred in previous cycles.

Comparing this to past downturns, the current score is significantly higher than those seen in 2015 and 2022, which both turned negative at around -0.3.

Looking at technical indicators, Bitcoin currently holds above the EMA50 at $76,883.44 inside the Bollinger Bands while the MACD death cross at 3.58 and neutral RSI of 44.22 point to a probable retracement toward that 50-EMA support before any fresh leg higher.

This structure is being factored into updated price prediction models and ongoing crypto market analysis for the current cycle bottom.

More on Crypto

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc