Bitcoin Options Market Ditches Hedges as Traders Go All-In on Upside
Bitcoin's options market has undergone a significant shift in recent weeks, with traders dismantling their defensive positions ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting. According to Glassnode data, the put/call ratio on open interest has fallen to approximately 0.52 from 0.76 in late June, indicating a sharp reduction in downside hedging.
The current market dynamics suggest that large traders are accumulating bullish positions at the $70,000 strike and bull call spreads, reflecting concrete expectations of upside in BTC's spot price. This is in contrast to the defensive posture that had built up through June.
The options market has priced in a relatively calm week ahead of the Fed decision, with one-week implied volatility sitting at 34.3%, well below the six-month reading of 40.8%. However, this unusual curve shape implies that traders have largely priced out any surprise from Wednesday's decision.