Bitcoin Price Prediction Market Offers Odds on October 4, 2026

A new prediction market on Robinhood.com is offering odds on the price of Bitcoin on a specific date. The contract, which expires on October 4, 2026 at 6pm EDT, is based on the CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). The price used to determine the outcome will be the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration.

The contract has several tiers, with increasing payouts for higher price targets. For example, if the price of BTC reaches or exceeds $86,000, the payout is 48 cents per contract. If the price reaches or exceeds $86,200, the payout is 19 cents per contract. The minimum price to trigger a payout is $85,900.

The contract is open to all traders, but those employed by certain agencies or holding material, non-public information on Bitcoin are not permitted to participate.