Bitcoin TD Sequential Buy Signal Ahead of Fed Rate Decision
A closely watched momentum indicator is signaling that it's time to go long on Bitcoin ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision on September 16, 2026. The TD Sequential has generated a buy signal on Bitcoin's chart, suggesting a potential rebound within three to nine days.
The TD Sequential is a momentum indicator created by Thomas DeMark, which works by counting consecutive candles in the same direction and typically flags a potential reversal after nine of them appear in sequence. When the indicator prints a buy setup, it suggests that downside momentum is exhausting itself, although it doesn't guarantee a reversal.
Analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted recurring TD Sequential buy setups on Bitcoin in the past, frequently noting short-term upward movements when the signal appears near technical support levels. The current signal arrives with Bitcoin sitting in a range where selling pressure has been limited but buyer enthusiasm hasn't been strong enough to trigger a breakout.
Interest-rate futures are pricing in an 88.5% probability of a 25-basis-point hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting, and the 2-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.63%. However, one scenario that could thread the needle is if the Fed hikes as expected but softens its forward guidance, potentially leading to a 'sell the rumor, buy the news' reaction.