Bitcoin's 63% HODL Wave Sparks Aging Signal Debate

Guavy AI Editorial Team Published September 20, 2026

Instruments

BTC

Bitcoin's one-year HODL share has reached 63.3%, according to Maketo's HODL-wave data, up from 62.32% in a month.

The rise is attributed to coins crossing age thresholds, rather than fresh buying or changes in beneficial ownership.

Aging signals are not the same as new demand, and separate evidence is needed to confirm accumulation.

Exchange flows and entity-adjusted balances are required to test whether older supply signals accumulation.

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Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

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