Bitcoin's Bottom May Not Arrive Until Late 2026

Analysts are projecting that Bitcoin's next bottom may not arrive until late 2026. According to on-chain research firms and cycle analysts, this scenario assumes a continued macroeconomic deterioration or regulatory crackdown could cause the price to bottom in 2027.

The global crypto market has experienced significant sell-off over the first half of 2026, with its cumulative market cap standing at around $2.18 trillion. Bitcoin's price is down by more than 27% on a year-to-date basis.

Mudrex Learn suggests that October 2026 to December 2026 is the most probable period for Bitcoin's bottom, with a low of $50,000 to $55,000, according to Anupam Dodecha's analysis. A Glassnode report highlights Q3 as a possible bottom, noting early accumulation.

The halving in April 2024 is also seen as a reason to expect a bottom in the late 2026 time frame. Previous cycles saw a bottom between 24 and 28 months after the event, putting the focus on mid-2026 to late 2026.