Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Crypto

Bitcoin's Cycle Bottom May Have Been Near $58K, Experts Agree

Instruments
BTC
Share

Bitcoin's cycle bottom may have been near $58,000, according to James Check, founder and lead analyst at Checkonchain. He made this statement on Cointelegraph's Proof of Thesis show.

The price of Bitcoin peaked just above $126,000 in October 2025 and has since dropped to around $77,400, a decline of about 39%. Check identified two capitulations: one near $60,000 in February and another near $58,000 in June and July. He emphasized that the difference between these two points is not significant, stating 'What's the difference between $58,000 and $59,000 or $60,000? Nothing. It's the six months that separated them. That's the actual difference.'

Check pointed out that a large amount of wealth, roughly $300 billion in cost basis, was trapped between $58,000 and $70,000. During the rebound, around 4 million BTC flipped from loss to profit.

Grayscale head of research Zach Pandl agreed with Check's assessment, saying 'I'm willing to stick my neck out and make a guess that prices bottomed back at $58,000 at the end of June.'

More on Crypto

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc