Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Crypto

Bitcoin's Cycle Volatility Forecasted to be Shallowest Yet

Instruments
BTC
Share

According to CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin's cycle volatility is expected to be shallower this time around due to lower historical norms in bull-market sigma volatility. This has eliminated the need for matching downside moves, labeling the current period as the 'final easy cycle.'

The BTC price prediction models are gaining support from this structural shift, which is said to mirror a Dot.com style chart rather than repeat past bear-market depth.

Looking at the 4h chart, Bitcoin is trading inside Bollinger Bands with upper resistance at $86,124.59 while RSI sits neutral at 58.77. The bullish MACD golden cross and price above both EMA50 at $84,356.88 and EMA200 at $81,126.2 point to a probable retracement toward the 50-EMA before continuation higher.

More on Crypto

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc