CLARITY Act Passage Odds Plummet to 20% Amid Senate Delays

The odds of passing the CLARITY Act have reached an all-time low of 20% on the prediction platform Kalshi. This decline in passage probability comes after Senate Majority Leader John Thune declined to file a cloture motion, even though the bill passed the House in 2025.

Delays and disputes among US Senators over provisions like stablecoin yield limits have hindered progress on the bill. The crypto community has expressed disappointment with lawmakers for failing to pass the legislation, which aims to regulate various aspects of the industry.

The chances of passing the CLARITY Act before January 1, 2027 are now considered low due to ongoing Senate delays and disagreements over key provisions. Regulatory uncertainty and market risk for crypto, DeFi, stablecoin projects, exchanges, and token issuers have increased as a result of these developments.