CLARITY Act's Midterm Passage Odds Sinking to 10%

The CLARITY Act faces uncertain prospects in Congress, according to Solana Policy Institute CEO Miller Whitehouse-Levine.

He estimates that the bill has only a 10% chance of becoming law before the November midterm elections due to a tight congressional calendar and unresolved industry disputes.

A key procedural vote is scheduled for September 15 to begin Senate consideration, but final passage requires more votes and negotiations.

Prediction markets place the bill's 2026 passage odds near 20%, reflecting a longer timeline.