Coinbase Prediction Market Sees $2.7M in Interest for BTC Price Bet

A prediction market on Coinbase allows users to trade contracts based on future events. The BTC price on September 22, 2026, at 6am EDT is being predicted by traders.

The contract has a total of $2.7M in interest and will expire on the specified date if an outcome occurs, otherwise it will close by 10:00 AM GMT+0. Traders are prohibited from trading this contract if they hold material non-public information on Bitcoin or work for Coinbase.

The price reflects the market's odds of the event happening, with $0.65 meaning a 65% chance. Users can buy 'Yes' contracts if they think the BTC price will be at that value and 'No' contracts if they think it won't. The payout is $1 minus what was paid (minus fees) for each correct contract.