Ethereum Price Exceeds Predicted Thresholds in Robinhood Prediction Market

The Ethereum price on August 4, 2026 at 8pm EDT was the subject of a prediction market hosted by Robinhood.com.

The contract determined whether the price would reach or exceed certain thresholds. For instance, $1,865 or above had a 99% probability, while $1,885 or above had a 4% chance.

The final price used to determine the outcome was the average of 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected at the last minute before expiration. This official and final value was then compared to the thresholds set in the contract.